Sunday, November 12, 2006

"WA-08: The definitive explanation of where things stand"

Sat Nov 11, 2006 at 10:19:18 AM PST

The excellent Washington blog horesesass (sic) gives us the skinny on the WA-08 ballot counting.

First, WA-08 spans King and Pierce Counties; over the past two elections about 81 percent of the votes have come from King, about 19 percent from Pierce. Currently Darcy Burner is leading in King County by about 0.75 percent, and losing Pierce by about 13 percent. Dave Reichert has been holding about a 2,700 vote lead.

Second, when the King and Pierce County results pages say 100% of precincts have reported, they are only referring to the poll votes, which will account for only around 20 percent of the total votes cast. The vast majority of votes were cast by mail.

Read the post for the numbers, but bottom line:

So here's my not very bold guess: only 40 to 60 percent of ballots have already been counted. That leaves plenty of room for Burner to erase a 2,700 vote deficit.
Howie comment: Keep in mind that Goldy's post was originally put up on 11/09/2006, 10:38 AM.

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